Vindicated
A vindicated trade is one Polywhaler flagged as suspicious at the time, which then turned out to be right. It is the closest thing the product has to a scoreboard for its own insider model.
What vindication means#
When a trade lands, it gets an insider score based on what was knowable then: the size, the odds being taken, the timing against the market's resolution date, and the wallet's history. That is a guess.
When the market eventually resolves, the guess can be marked. A trade that scored high on insider risk and won is vindicated. It does not prove anything about a single wallet, but a steady stream of them is evidence the scoring is pointed at something real.
Note
The feed#
The Vindicated tab on Home lists them newest first. Sports and esports are excluded, as they are on Home: they resolve constantly and would bury the ones worth reading.
It is the best entry point into the leaderboard. A wallet that shows up here more than once is worth opening.
Through the API#
- GET /v1/outcomes?vindicated=true returns the same set, with the scores and the resolution attached.
- The trade.vindicated webhook fires when a flagged trade is marked, so you do not have to poll for it.
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