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Events

The Events page is Polywhaler's Black Swan Radar. It ranks every active Polymarket event by how much insider activity it is attracting right now, so you can spot a brewing story without scrolling the whole trade feed.

Read the event cards

Every card on the page is one event, with its market icon, headline, and most-active outcomes. The badge color tells you how much insider risk the event is carrying.

  • High: average insider score 70+. The strongest signal.
  • Medium: 55 to 69. Worth a closer look.
  • Elevated: 40 to 54. Background heat, not yet a story.

The stats row at the top of the page summarizes the universe at a glance: Suspicious Events, High Risk Trades, Suspicious Volume, and the Top Category driving the activity.

The Events page showing the Black Swan Radar banner at the top, the Suspicious Events heading with time and category filters, four stat cards, and a grid of event cards with risk scores.
The Events page. The Black Swan Radar banner sits above the events list.

Open an event

Click any card to expand the event. You will see the most recent insider trades that drove the score, the markets associated with the event, and (on Pro) the Top Whales driving the activity.

Pro tier

The Top Whales widget on each event is Pro. It surfaces the biggest active wallets so you can decide whether the move is a few large players or a broader crowd.

When the radar is most useful

  • Before a major news cycle, when insider activity often picks up days before the event hits headlines.
  • For finding markets you would not have searched for yourself. The radar lifts events out of the long tail.
  • When you want to size a position. The radar tells you whether you are entering with the crowd or out in front of it.

Related

  • Map shows the same events plotted geographically. Helpful for spotting regional clusters.
  • The Prophet often turns the top events into a daily prediction article.