Events

Events ranks every prediction market event by what whales are doing on it: how much money is moving, which side it is on, and whether any of it looks informed. It covers Polymarket and Kalshi, and every event opens into its own page.

Pick a view#

The chips above the list are views of the same events, each ranked for a different question. The number on a chip is how many events it holds right now.

  • Top: every event with whale trades, most whale money first.
  • Suspicious: events with buys scoring over 40 on insider risk, high-risk first.
  • Smart money: where the top 1,000 traders on the leaderboard are putting money.
  • Coordinated: events traded by wallet groups that move together. Only shown when there are any.
  • Closing soon: events that end in the next 72 hours.
  • Resolved: settled events, and whether the whales on them were right. Only shown when there are any.
  • Watching: the events you starred.

The heading sets the time window (the last hour, 24 hours, 7 days or 30 days). Category chips narrow the list; sports only appear under Sports, the same as the Home feed. The venue switch shows one exchange or both. Press / to search, j and k to move down the list and Enter to open an event. Every view has its own link, so you can share it.

Read a row#

  • Leading: the outcome the market currently favors, its price, and how far it moved in 24 hours.
  • Whale $: whale volume in the window. The bar under it is the share that was buying rather than selling.
  • Whales: the biggest wallets on the event and how many there are in total.
  • Flagged: buys with an insider score over 40. High means at least one scored over 70; Med means the highest was between 41 and 70. Kalshi trades aren't scored, so Kalshi rows show a dash.
  • Trend: whale money across the window, so you can see whether it arrived all at once or kept coming.

A green dot next to a title means there has been whale activity since you last opened that event. The strip at the top totals whale volume, active events and flagged buys for whatever you are looking at, next to the current Market risk reading from the Black Swan Radar.

The Events page: a heading with the time window, a strip of four totals, view chips, category chips and a ranked table of events with their leading outcome, whale volume, whales, flagged buys and a trend line.
The Events page, ranked by whale money in the last 24 hours.

Open an event#

Each event has its own page. It opens with a one-line summary of what whales are doing, the price chart, and totals for whale volume, whales and how much of the money was buying. Below the chart:

  • Outcomes: every outcome with its price and whale money in and out. On events with several markets, each market gets its own row. Click a row to chart it.
  • Trades: whale trades on the event, newest first, each linking to its trade page.
  • Whales: every wallet on the event, where most of its money went, its average entry price, smart-money score and leaderboard rank.
  • Coordination: wallet groups trading the event together.
  • Resolution: once the event settles, how much whale money ended on the right side, how many flagged buys won, and what the whales made or lost on their buys.

The side panel shows the event's insider risk, how the money splits by trade size, and related events. Full chart opens the market on Charts.

Pro tier

Pro adds the Whales and Coordination tabs, the reasons behind each flagged buy, smart money, the full trade history, the Smart money and Coordinated views, the 30 day window and event alerts.

Watch events and get alerts#

Star any event to add it to Watching. You need to be signed in, and you can watch up to 200 events.

On a Polymarket event page, Alert me sends you a Telegram or Discord message whenever a whale trades that event. Every event you turn this on for goes into one rule called Watched events on the Alerts page, where you can set its minimum size or insider filters. One rule covers up to 50 events.