Bitcoin forecast
Where the markets think Bitcoin is going.
A Bitcoin price forecast built from every Polymarket and Kalshi Bitcoin market, from one week to one year out, with the range around it.
How it works
Three steps, start to finish.
What's included.
Where prediction markets think Bitcoin is going. How the forecast works.
Five horizons
One week to one year out.
Bear, base and bull
The 10th percentile, median and 90th percentile.
Both venues
Every Bitcoin market on Polymarket and Kalshi.
Updated hourly
A fresh forecast every hour, with a confidence score.
Inside the model on Pro
The distribution, insights and every market's weight.
Free forecast
The forecast and chart are free.
The forecast right now
The predicted Bitcoin price at each horizon, with its bear and bull cases.
FAQs
Common questions about Polywhaler's bitcoin forecast.
How is the forecast made?
Each Bitcoin price market on Polymarket and Kalshi says how likely a price is by a date. Polywhaler fits a price distribution to all of them at each horizon and takes its median as the forecast.
Is the Bitcoin forecast free?
Yes, the forecast, its range and the chart are free. The full distribution and the markets behind it are part of Pro.
How often does it update?
Every hour.
Is this financial advice?
No. It shows what prediction markets imply, not a recommendation to buy or sell.
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