Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
PoliticsCloses Oct 1, 2026 (in 2d)
$123K from 6 whales so far. 65% of it was buying. 100% of the buying went to No.
WHALE VOLUME
$123K
none in the last 24h
WHALES
6
7 whale trades
BUYING
65%
of whale $
No
OutcomePriceWhale flowWhalesFlagged
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.