Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
PoliticsCloses Jan 1, 2028 (in 459d)
$1.11M from 14 whales so far. Buying and selling were close to even. 100% of the buying went to No.
WHALE VOLUME
$1.11M
none in the last 24h
WHALES
14
40 whale trades
BUYING
54%
of whale $
No
OutcomePriceWhale flowWhalesFlagged
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.