Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
PoliticsCloses Jan 1, 2027 (in 94d)
$183K from 7 whales so far. Buying and selling were close to even. 100% of the buying went to April 30 (No).
WHALE VOLUME
$183K
none in the last 24h
WHALES
7
9 whale trades
BUYING
57%
of whale $
No
OutcomePriceWhale flowWhalesFlagged
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.