Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
PoliticsCloses Jan 1, 2027 (in 74d)
No
93.5%0.0 ptspast 24 hours
$81K from 5 whales so far. Buying and selling were close to even. 100% of the buying went to No.
No
WHALE VOLUME
$81K
none in the last 24h
WHALES
5
5 whale trades
BUYING
44%
of whale $
Whale money traded on this outcome: bought in, sold out
Current price, read as a probability
Whale money traded on this outcome: bought in, sold outSorted descending.
Whale wallets that traded it
$81K whale $ · 5 whales
94%+1.0 pts
+1.0 pts
$81K: $36K bought, $45K sold
5
none
$0 whale $ · 0 whales
7%-1.0 pts
-1.0 pts
$0: $0 bought, $0 sold
0
none
Sorted by Whale $, descending
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.