Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
OtherCloses Jul 1, 2027 (in 254d)
No
94.0%0.0 ptspast 24 hours
No whale trades so far.
No
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Current price, read as a probability
Whale money traded on this outcome: bought in, sold outSorted descending.
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Sorted by Whale $, descending
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.