Israel closes its airspace by...?

PoliticsPolymarketEnded Oct 1, 2026

June 8 · No

100.0%past 24 hours
Open in ChartsPolymarket

$1.55M from 43 whales so far. 76% of it was buying. 1 flagged buy.

No
WHALE VOLUME
$1.55M
none in the last 24h
WHALES
43
78 whale trades
BUYING
76%
of whale $

$221K whale $ · 5 whales

100%+0.9 pts

$200K whale $ · 4 whales

100%+1.1 pts

$170K whale $ · 4 whales

100%

$151K whale $ · 7 whales · insider 50

100%+1.5 pts

$135K whale $ · 5 whales

100%+1.1 pts

$98K whale $ · 2 whales

100%+2.5 pts

$95K whale $ · 4 whales

100%+0.8 pts

$80K whale $ · 3 whales

100%+36.4 pts

$66K whale $ · 2 whales

100%+1.4 pts

$59K whale $ · 3 whales

100%+0.9 pts

Sorted by Whale $, descending

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted). Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution. Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.