Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?

PoliticsPolymarketCloses Jan 1, 2027 (in 68d)

December 31, 2026 · No

92.5%past 24 hours
Open in ChartsPolymarket

$205K from 4 whales so far. 94% of it was buying. 70% of the buying went to December 31, 2026 (No).

No
WHALE VOLUME
$205K
none in the last 24h
WHALES
4
14 whale trades
BUYING
94%
of whale $
Sort by

$135K whale $ · 2 whales

93%-1.0 pts

$69K whale $ · 3 whales

100%

$0 whale $ · 0 whales

40%

$0 whale $ · 0 whales

25%-0.5 pts

$0 whale $ · 0 whales

11%-6.5 pts

$0 whale $ · 0 whales

8%+1.0 pts

$0 whale $ · 0 whales

3%

$0 whale $ · 0 whales

<1%

$0 whale $ · 0 whales

0%

Sorted by Whale $, descending

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.